Bloomberg.com has an interesting article on how the flu vaccine shortage is affecting the presidential campaign. It's not good news for Bush. The elderly are very sensitive to the shortage and states like Florida, Pennsylvania, and Iowa have high percentages of elderly citizens.
"The shortage of flu shots may have political repercussions for Bush, said Dick Bennett, president of American Research Group Inc., a polling firm based in Manchester, New Hampshire.
``It's like lines at the gas pump,'' Bennett said. ``You don't notice it until there is a shortage. People become unhappy and they do want to blame people.''
``If you're the Bush campaign you don't want to see somebody standing in line all day and not getting a flu shot,'' he said.
In Florida, 18 percent of the population is age 65 or older, the largest percentage in the U.S., according to Census Data. Pennsylvania ranks second at 15.6 percent and Iowa is fourth with 14.9 percent.
If the election is ``close enough in a couple of states, a minor issue could seemingly swing enough votes to change the outcome,'' said Peverill Squire, a political scientist at the University of Iowa.
Because of the shortage, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control urged doctors to reserve flu shots for elderly patients, infants and others most at risk to complications from the flu.
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, a Tennessee Republican, and other members of Congress were vaccinated against the flu, the AP reported. John Eisold, the Capitol's physician, advised lawmakers to have the vaccination because of the large amount of time they spend visiting retirement homes and shaking hands, AP said. Bush said he would forego the vaccination.
Women Voters
Kerry's attacks may also resonate with women voters, who ``are more apt to be in play and open to arguments later in the campaign,'' Bennett said. Historically, women account for 60 percent to 70 percent of undecided voters, he said.
Difficulty getting flu shots may also be a potent issue for senior citizens, said Susan MacManus, a political scientist at the University of South Florida in Tampa.
``Older voters are a little more informed on the problems of vaccine,'' MacManus said. ``They are going to blame the president. That's the way it is.''
Massachusetts businessman Allyn Coombs, 70, who voted for Bush four years ago, said the vaccine shortage may prompt him to cast his ballot for Kerry this year.
`Another Factor'
``It's another factor in what I consider to be a complete failure of our medical system to take care of us,'' said Coombs, who suffers from cancer, high blood pressure and heart trouble.
Unable to find flu shots in Franklin County, a rural area in Massachusetts near the Vermont border, Coombs said he and his wife, Joan, who also suffers from cancer, may drive to Canada if he can find a place to get vaccinated. ``We desperately need a flu shot,'' he said."